Review Which of the following sampling method is not based on probability?

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In probability sampling, it is possible to both determine which sampling units belong to which sample and the probability that each sample will be selected. The following sampling methods are examples of probability sampling:

Simple Random Sampling (SRS)Stratified SamplingCluster SamplingSystematic SamplingMultistage Sampling (in which some of the methods above are combined in stages)

Of the five methods listed above, students have the most trouble distinguishing between stratified sampling and cluster sampling.

Stratified Sampling is possible when it makes sense to partition the population into groups based on a factor that may influence the variable that is being measured. These groups are then called strata. An individual group is called a stratum. With stratified sampling one should:

    partition the population into groups (strata)obtain a simple random sample from each group (stratum)collect data on each sampling unit that was randomly sampled from each group (stratum)

Stratified sampling works best when a heterogeneous population is split into fairly homogeneous groups. Under these conditions, stratification generally produces more precise estimates of the population percents than estimates that would be found from a simple random sample. Table 2.2 shows some examples of ways to obtain a stratified sample.

Table 2.2. Examples of Stratified Samples  Example 1Example 2Example 3PopulationAll people in the U.S. All PSU intercollegiate athletes All elementary students in the local school district Groups (Strata)

4 Time Zones in the U.S. (Eastern, Central, Mountain, Pacific)

26 PSU intercollegiate teams 11 different elementary schools in the local school district Obtain a Simple Random Sample500 people from each of the 4 time zones 5 athletes from each of the 26 PSU teams 20 students from each of the 11 elementary schools Sample4 × 500 = 2000 selected people 26 × 5 = 130 selected athletes 11 × 20 = 220 selected students

Cluster Sampling is very different from Stratified Sampling. With cluster sampling, one should

    divide the population into groups (clusters).obtain a simple random sample of so many clusters from all possible clusters.obtain data on every sampling unit in each of the randomly selected clusters.

It is important to note that, unlike with the strata in stratified sampling, the clusters should be microcosms, rather than subsections, of the population. Each cluster should be heterogeneous. Additionally, the statistical analysis used with cluster sampling is not only different but also more complicated than that used with stratified sampling.

Table 2.3. Examples of Cluster Samples  Example 1Example 2Example 3PopulationAll people in the U.S. All PSU intercollegiate athletes All elementary students in a local school district Groups (Clusters)4 Time Zones in the U.S. (Eastern, Central, Mountain, Pacific.) 26 PSU intercollegiate teams 11 different elementary schools in the local school district Obtain a Simple Random Sample2 time zones from the 4 possible time zones 8 teams from the 26 possible teams 4 elementary schools from the l1 possible elementary schools Sampleevery person in the 2 selected time zones every athlete on the 8 selected teams every student in the 4 selected elementary schools

Each of the three examples that are found in Tables 2.2 and 2.3 was used to illustrate how both stratified and cluster sampling could be accomplished. However, there are obviously times when one sampling method is preferred over the other. The following explanations add some clarification about when to use which method.

    With Example 1: Stratified sampling would be preferred over cluster sampling, particularly if the questions of interest are affected by time zone. For example, the percentage of people watching a live sporting sự kiện on television might be highly affected by the time zone they are in. Cluster sampling really works best when there are a reasonable number of clusters relative to the entire population. In this case, selecting 2 clusters from 4 possible clusters really does not provide many advantages over simple random sampling.With Example 2: Either stratified sampling or cluster sampling could be used. It would depend on what questions are being asked. For instance, consider the question "Do you agree or disagree that you receive adequate attention from the team of doctors the Sports Medicine Clinic when injured?" The answer to this question would probably not be team dependent, so cluster sampling would be fine. In contrast, if the question of interest is "Do you agree or disagree that weather affects your performance during an athletic sự kiện?" The answer to this question would probably be influenced by whether or not the sport is played outside or inside. Consequently, stratified sampling would be preferred.With Example 3: Cluster sampling would probably be better than stratified sampling if each individual elementary school appropriately represents the entire population as in a school district where students from throughout the district can attend any school. Stratified sampling could be used if the elementary schools had very different locations and served only their local neighborhood (i.e., one elementary school is located in a rural setting while another elementary school is located in an urban setting.) Again, the questions of interest would affect which sampling method should be used.

The most common method of carrying out a poll today is using Random Digit Dialing in which a machine random dials phone numbers. Some polls go even farther and have a machine conduct the interview itself rather than just dialing the number! Such "robocall polls" can be very biased because they have extremely low response rates (most people don't like speaking to a machine) and because federal law prevents such calls to cell phones. Since the people who have landline phone service tend to be older than people who have cell phone service only, another potential source of bias is introduced. National polling organizations that use random digit dialing in conducting interviewer based polls are very careful to match the number of landline versus cell phones to the population they are trying to survey.

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